Clive Gibson, Vice President, Asia Energy & Chemicals Advisory and Johan Vandebeek, Senior Analyst NexantThinking, APAC from NEXANT share their views on the Asian Petrochemical Industry
Your company is widely
known for providing independent & expert consulting services in a lot of
industries, incl. Downstream Oil & Gas and Chemicals ones. Please share
with us what are the company’s current industry projects focused on Asia
region?
Nexant’s
consulting expertise covers the entire Energy & Chemicals business via
provision of strategic planning, technical, commercial and environmental
advisory support to industry participants as well as financial institutions. Nexant
continues to be involved in supporting several major new investment projects
across the Asian region covering gas, refining and petrochemicals, whilst it is
also actively involved in providing M&A transaction support to clients
seeking to expand their businesses by acquisition.
Which are the main
directions your company has chosen to focus on to navigate through the
turbulent times the industry is going through at present?
Nexant has
several decades experience within the Energy & Chemicals sector and hence,
it is deeply familiar with trends of industry volatility and cyclicality. Leveraging
this knowledge, Nexant is able to help its clients understand the potentials
risks and opportunities that such trends offer. This may include areas such as
strategic planning, investment evaluation and support, either in new projects
or acquisition opportunities.
In your opinion,
what are the main challenges industry players in Asia are facing nowadays?
Key
industry challenges continue to be driven by market uncertainties which are
generally outside the direct control of the industry itself. For example,
global political and economic challenges such as BREXIT and its broader impact
across Europe, U.S. elections, Chinese economic growth factors, etc. Meanwhile
oil price volatility continues to create an uncertain business climate which
has directly impacted cash flows available for ongoing investment amongst major
global players, including prospects for some Asian projects.
One of NEXANT’s key
areas of expertise in Chemicals industry include: Aromatics & Aromatic
Derivatives. In your opinion, what does Asian expansion mean for the aromatics
markets?
A major
trend that the aromatics industry has witnessed over the past several years is
self-sufficiency. Asian players have heavily invested in benzene and
para-xylene derivatives, including styrene, phenol, caprolactam, adipic acid,
MDI and PTA, to replace import requirements. This as a result puts some
pressure on export-oriented facilities in other parts of the world.
You both are among the respected speakers
at the upcoming ASIA-TECH: Asia Downstream Technology Forum. Which trends would
you expect to drive development of the industry in Asia?
Fundamental
industry growth drivers will continue to be linked to macro-economic growth,
rising end use demand which is influenced by fundamentals such as growth in
consumer wealth and population in developing economies.
- China
will continue to be a major influence on industry dynamics given its size,
particularly in terms of the impact of economic growth on domestic demand, and
the balance between domestic industry investments versus reliance on imports;
- India,
Indonesia and other emerging markets such as Vietnam will continue to offer
investment opportunities based on local market dynamics;
-
Meanwhile, oil price volatility and its impact on industry profitability and
competitiveness will continue to drive business activities around the world. Although
many Asian industry players tend to be impacted as buyers rather than producers,
producer cash flows will also impact their appetite to jointly invest in future
Asian projects;
- On the aromatics side there are two
contrary evolutions. The benzene market is expected to
tighten gradually due to limited supply from steam crackers inflicted by
the change towards lighter feedstocks, whereas the paraxylene market
is projected to experience another supply wave.
New paraxylene capacity
is coming onstream in the
Middle East and Asia Pacific, together with the restart of
world-scale production plants that experienced production problems in 2015-2016. It is
anticipated that non-integrated players with sub-scale facility and high dependency on export
markets will be in the most vulnerable position. The
main challenge is that benzene is typically considered as by-product from steam
crackers or paraxylene complexes.
What are the main
issues you are going to address in your presentations at the
ASIA-TECH 2016 conference?
Within the
context of ongoing market volatility and uncertainty, we will take a look at
recent market developments, its impact on profitability and competitiveness of
the industry and prospects for the regional investment climate.
We will also
have a closer look at the impact from the changing aromatics landscape on trade
flows, production mix and the challenges lying ahead.
What are your
expectations from NEXANT’s participation at the
ASIA-TECH 2016?
ASIA-TECH2016 is a well-established event which has been regularly supported by NEXANT
as it consistently brings together a diverse mix of industry operators,
technical service providers and other industry participants. We very much look
forward to supporting the event once again.
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